Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 14.452262 16.269128 18.242587 20.547981 23.170602 26.065126 29.507136
2025-03-16 11.525967 13.937009 16.763623 20.332919 24.735245 30.006938 36.827621
2025-03-23 9.858401 12.674117 16.199524 20.963499 27.272730 35.396654 46.737771
2025-03-30 8.394618 11.375362 15.325163 20.987312 28.970123 39.932797 56.317129
2025-04-06 7.120855 10.098370 14.242967 20.499576 29.821140 43.377457 64.919133
2025-04-13 6.173344 9.114851 13.392602 20.156483 30.748785 46.977560 74.258654
2025-04-20 5.633894 8.636013 13.183905 20.694758 33.024254 52.875857 88.099409
2025-04-27 5.209704 8.265558 13.072451 21.338087 35.516688 59.435431 104.103758
2025-05-04 4.781124 7.826411 12.783689 21.628957 37.429090 65.260542 119.779525
2025-05-11 4.290820 7.222161 12.142321 21.217788 38.033085 68.838310 131.877497
2025-05-18 3.882219 6.706424 11.584482 20.867587 38.672223 72.528276 144.764488
2025-05-25 3.537252 6.261449 11.095367 20.570105 39.348718 76.350265 158.529158
2025-06-01 3.259274 5.915061 10.759552 20.547892 40.617606 81.652133 176.690525
2025-06-08 3.004433 5.584098 10.415915 20.468325 41.766889 86.906352 195.827204
2025-06-15 2.870146 5.466686 10.464397 21.181071 44.674070 96.366357 226.588080
2025-06-22 2.677506 5.213958 10.218100 21.248135 46.193713 103.006860 251.945860
2025-06-29 2.451293 4.869872 9.749326 20.777010 46.436745 106.751623 270.784612
2025-07-06 2.262822 4.582977 9.366061 20.441452 46.935663 111.165062 292.264352
2025-07-13 2.170894 4.488146 9.376780 20.995062 49.629043 121.403296 331.878909
2025-07-20 2.093939 4.416974 9.429901 21.652531 52.676133 133.059976 378.201492
2025-07-27 1.994661 4.286680 9.337623 21.950297 54.858016 142.819932 421.189083
2025-08-03 1.852564 4.046879 8.972534 21.533769 55.115686 147.396271 449.246350
2025-08-10 1.727369 3.833757 8.647678 21.178608 55.488600 152.367568 479.776378